Ea Carolina
W-L: ( 9- 4) PR = 81.2864Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 828 A NC St ACC ( 9- 4, 83.0) 7-24 906 H Campbell 56- 3 913 A Coastal Car SUN ( 6- 8, 71.4) 38- 0 920 H BYU B12 (12- 2, 91.0) 13-34 925 H Army AME ( 7- 6, 78.4) 28- 6 1009 A Tulane AME (11- 3, 82.0) 19-26 1016 H Tulsa AME ( 4- 8, 67.6) 41-27 1101 A Temple AME ( 5- 7, 71.4) 45-14 1108 H Charlotte AME ( 1-11, 49.9) 48-22 1115 H Memphis AME ( 8- 5, 77.7) 31-27 1122 A UTSA AME ( 7- 5, 77.0) 24-58 1129 A Fla Atlantic AME ( 4- 8, 70.2) 42- 3 1227 N Pittsburgh ACC ( 8- 5, 82.9) 23-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
828 A NC St 7-24 -17 -7 --- -7.05
913 A Coastal Car 38- 0 38 5 +++ 9.38
920 H BYU 13-34 -21 -4 --- -9.54
925 H Army 28- 6 22 8 ++ 5.84
1009 A Tulane 19-26 -7 -6 -1.02
1016 H Tulsa 41-27 14 19 0.00
1101 A Temple 45-14 31 5 +++ 9.35
1108 H Charlotte 48-22 26 37 0.00
1115 H Memphis 31-27 4 9 -- -4.85
1122 A UTSA 24-58 -34 -1 --- -13.03
1129 A Fla Atlantic 42- 3 39 6 +++ 8.21
1227 N Pittsburgh 23-17 6 -2 +++ 7.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 828 A NC St 7-24 -17 -7 --- -7.05 920 H BYU 13-34 -21 -4 --- -9.54 1122 A UTSA 24-58 -34 -1 --- -13.03 1115 H Memphis 31-27 4 9 -- -4.85 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 913 A Coastal Car 38- 0 38 5 +++ 9.38 1101 A Temple 45-14 31 5 +++ 9.35 1129 A Fla Atlantic 42- 3 39 6 +++ 8.21 1227 N Pittsburgh 23-17 6 -2 +++ 7.62 925 H Army 28- 6 22 8 ++ 5.84 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A NC St ( 9- 4, 83.0) 7-24 -16.92 34.30 5.26 1.06 -6.19
3 A Coastal Car ( 6- 8, 71.4) 38- 0 -28.49 22.72 5.26 1.06 59.47
3 H BYU (12- 2, 91.0) 13-34 -8.89 42.33 -5.26 1.06 -7.52
3 H Army ( 7- 6, 78.4) 28- 6 -21.51 29.71 -5.26 1.06 51.96
3 A Tulane (11- 3, 82.0) 19-26 -17.89 33.33 5.26 1.06 -6.71
3 H Tulsa ( 4- 8, 67.6) 41-27 -32.29 18.93 -5.26 1.06 29.05
3 A Temple ( 5- 7, 71.4) 45-14 -28.52 22.70 5.26 1.06 59.41
3 H Charlotte ( 1-11, 49.9) 48-22 -50.04 1.18 -5.26 1.06 -8.67
3 H Memphis ( 8- 5, 77.7) 31-27 -22.20 29.02 -5.26 1.06 50.48
3 A UTSA ( 7- 5, 77.0) 24-58 -22.90 28.32 5.26 1.06 -9.37
3 A Fla Atlantic ( 4- 8, 70.2) 42- 3 -29.66 21.56 5.26 1.06 56.99
3 N Pittsburgh ( 8- 5, 82.9) 23-17 -16.99 34.23 -0.00 1.06 72.73
------
341.62
|
winning pts = 371.4168 losing points = -29.7923
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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